Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| North Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 40.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 46.5 | 58% |
| O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| UNLV O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 76.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahiem White: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brendon Haygood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Corri Milliner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tayven Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Justin Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Baron Tipton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josiah Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Osho: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Reese: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Shandon King: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| Spread -27.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| Spread -24.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 70.5 | 45% |
| Spread -16.5 | 44% |
| Spread -17.5 | 44% |
| O/U 60.5 | 42% |
| O/U 56.5 | 42% |
| Spread -11.5 | 42% |
| Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| UNLV vs. North Texas | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 20% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, unlv vs. north texas stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and North Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $344K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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