Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Texas Tech vs. Oregon State | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cameron Dickey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinten Joyner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J'Koby Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kenny Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Coy Eakin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terrance Carter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Hammond: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Hudson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kourdey Glass: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Newberry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Atkinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Legree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jett Carpenter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malcolm Simmons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aeryn Hampton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeCorion Temple: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donte Lee Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eddie Freauff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eric Olsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavyion Noland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Llewellyn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -46.5 | 0% |
| Spread -43.5 | 0% |
| Spread -42.5 | 0% |
| Spread -40.5 | 0% |
| Spread -39.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech O/U 44.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, texas tech vs. oregon state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Texas Tech and Oregon State, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the g…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $100K.
Methodology
This page reviews Texas Tech vs. Oregon State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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