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Rice vs. Notre Dame

Five-platform snapshot of "Rice vs. Notre Dame" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -17.5 97% Spread -20.5 96% Spread -21.5 96% Spread -23.5 96% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $548K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Rice vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -17.597%
Spread -20.596%
Spread -21.596%
Spread -23.596%
Spread -7.595%
O/U 34.595%
Spread -4.594%
Spread -13.594%
O/U 36.594%
Spread -26.594%
Spread -16.593%
Spread -24.593%
Spread -5.591%
O/U 38.591%
Spread -14.590%
Spread -27.590%
O/U 40.589%
Spread -29.587%
Spread -30.587%
Spread -8.585%
O/U 42.584%
Spread -31.583%
Spread -33.581%
O/U 44.580%
Spread -34.578%
O/U 46.576%
Spread -35.575%
Spread -10.573%
Rice O/U 1.573%
Spread -36.573%
Rice O/U 0.573%
Rice O/U 2.572%
Notre Dame O/U 42.572%
Notre Dame O/U 43.571%
Spread -37.571%
Spread -6.570%
Spread -38.568%
O/U 48.567%
Spread -39.565%
2H Spread -14.564%
O/U 50.563%
1H Spread -22.563%
Notre Dame O/U 45.563%
Spread -40.563%
Spread -0.562%
1H Spread -23.562%
Notre Dame O/U 46.562%
Spread -41.562%
2H Spread -16.561%
O/U 52.556%
O/U 53.556%
Notre Dame O/U 48.556%
Spread -42.556%
O/U 54.555%
1H Spread -24.555%
Spread -43.555%
Spread -44.553%
2H Spread -17.553%
1H Spread -26.552%
1Q Spread -11.552%
2H Spread -18.552%
2Q Spread -16.552%
Spread -1.551%
Spread -2.551%
Spread -3.551%
1H Spread -25.551%
1Q Spread -13.551%
4Q Spread -9.551%
4Q Moneyline51%
2H Spread -19.551%
3Q Spread -6.551%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown51%
Rice O/U 4.551%
Ben Grice: Anytime Touchdown51%
2Q O/U 10.551%
2Q O/U 13.551%
3Q O/U 7.551%
Rice O/U 0.550%
Rice O/U 1.550%
Rice O/U 2.550%
Rice O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame O/U 3.550%
O/U 55.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1Q Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -10.550%
1Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -11.550%
2Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -15.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -10.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q Spread -12.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
Rice O/U 5.550%
Notre Dame O/U 6.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 26.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 28.550%
1H Spread -27.550%
1Q Spread -14.550%
1Q Spread -15.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -10.550%
4Q Spread -11.550%
Rice 1H O/U 2.550%
Rice 2H O/U 0.550%
Rice 2H O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 20.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 22.550%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyvonn Byars: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jacurri Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braylen Walker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Payton Matthews: Anytime Touchdown50%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown50%
DAndre Hardeman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Davis Lane Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Morgan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Max Mosey: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H O/U 25.550%
1H O/U 28.550%
1H O/U 31.550%
1H O/U 34.550%
1H O/U 37.550%
2H O/U 16.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
1Q Spread -17.550%
1Q O/U 8.550%
1Q O/U 11.550%
1Q O/U 17.550%
1Q O/U 20.550%
2Q Spread -10.550%
2Q Spread -17.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Rice 1H O/U 1.550%
Rice 1H O/U 3.550%
Rice 1H O/U 5.550%
Rice 2H O/U 1.550%
Rice 2H O/U 3.550%
Rice 2H O/U 5.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.550%
Notre Dame O/U 49.549%
3Q Spread -7.549%
4Q O/U 13.549%
Rice O/U 3.549%
Spread -45.548%
4Q Spread -6.547%
2H Spread -20.547%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 30.546%
Notre Dame O/U 51.546%
O/U 56.545%
2Q Spread -13.545%
Spread -46.545%
2Q Spread -14.544%
Rice O/U 6.544%
Rice 1H O/U 0.543%
Spread -47.543%
Rice O/U 0.542%
4Q Spread -7.541%
O/U 58.539%
Notre Dame O/U 52.539%
Spread -48.539%
Notre Dame O/U 54.538%
1H Spread -28.537%
1Q O/U 14.537%
1H Spread -29.536%
O/U 60.535%
Spread -49.535%
Notre Dame O/U 55.534%
2H Spread -21.534%
Spread -50.534%
2H Spread -22.533%
Spread -51.531%
O/U 62.528%
Spread -52.528%
Rice O/U 8.526%
Rice O/U 7.526%
O/U 64.524%
Spread -54.524%
Rice O/U 9.524%
O/U 66.518%
Spread -57.518%
O/U 68.517%
Spread -58.516%
Rice O/U 11.514%
Rice O/U 10.514%
Rice O/U 12.513%
O/U 70.512%
Spread -60.512%
Spread -61.511%
O/U 72.510%
O/U 74.58%
Spread -64.56%
Rice vs. Notre Dame0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, rice vs. notre dame stands at 97% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market wil…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -17.5 at 97% for "Rice vs. Notre Dame".

Spread -17.5 97% Other 3%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $115K.

Methodology

This page reviews Rice vs. Notre Dame across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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