Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Penn State vs. Temple | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Temple O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Temple 2H O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Penn State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Carson Hansen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rocco Becht: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brett Eskildsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Peoples: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Koby Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Benjamin Brahmer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Andrew Rappleyea: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinton Martin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chase Sowell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keveun Mason: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam Wallace: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayce Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peter Clarke: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaxon Smolik: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JoJo Bermudez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Colin Chase: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| De'Carlos Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keith Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ryder Kusch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -44.5 | 50% |
| Gabe Burkle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zay Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Temple O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Penn State O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Temple 2H O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| Temple 2H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -23.5 | 1% |
| O/U 49.5 | 1% |
| Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| O/U 51.5 | 1% |
| O/U 50.5 | 1% |
| Spread -22.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| Spread -27.5 | 1% |
| Spread -31.5 | 1% |
| Spread -34.5 | 1% |
| O/U 36.5 | 1% |
| O/U 38.5 | 1% |
| O/U 40.5 | 1% |
| O/U 42.5 | 1% |
| O/U 44.5 | 1% |
| O/U 46.5 | 1% |
| O/U 48.5 | 1% |
| O/U 52.5 | 1% |
| O/U 56.5 | 1% |
| O/U 58.5 | 1% |
| O/U 60.5 | 1% |
| O/U 62.5 | 1% |
| O/U 64.5 | 1% |
| O/U 66.5 | 1% |
| O/U 68.5 | 1% |
| O/U 70.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 31.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 34.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 37.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 40.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 43.5 | 1% |
| Temple O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| Temple O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| Temple O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| Temple O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 30.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 33.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 36.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 39.5 | 1% |
| Penn State O/U 42.5 | 1% |
| Spread -41.5 | 1% |
| Spread -40.5 | 1% |
| Spread -38.5 | 1% |
| Spread -37.5 | 1% |
| Spread -32.5 | 1% |
| Spread -30.5 | 1% |
| Spread -29.5 | 1% |
| Spread -28.5 | 1% |
| Spread -26.5 | 1% |
| Spread -25.5 | 1% |
| Spread -19.5 | 1% |
| Spread -18.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
Market context
Penn State vs. Temple — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Temple, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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