Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| O/U 27.5 | 99% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nathan McNeil: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aiden Flora: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Evan James: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cody Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Omari Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Fortenberry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| L.J. Phillips Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hank Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Evan Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dayton Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Easton Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dominic Overby: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jarriett Buie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carter Pabst: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Vince Benetti: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 38% |
| Spread -21.5 | 25% |
| Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -31.5 | 10% |
| Spread -34.5 | 10% |
| 2H Moneyline | 10% |
| Iowa State O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Iowa O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Iowa O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| Iowa O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Iowa O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| Iowa O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| Iowa O/U 33.5 | 10% |
| Iowa State O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Iowa State O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -22.5 | 10% |
| Spread -28.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| O/U 31.5 | 9% |
| O/U 35.5 | 9% |
| O/U 37.5 | 9% |
| O/U 45.5 | 9% |
| O/U 47.5 | 9% |
| O/U 49.5 | 9% |
| O/U 53.5 | 9% |
| O/U 55.5 | 9% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 9% |
| Iowa State O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -6.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| Spread: Iowa (-11.5) | 2% |
| O/U 42.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| O/U 39.5 | 2% |
| O/U 51.5 | 2% |
| O/U 57.5 | 2% |
| Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| O/U 33.5 | 1% |
| O/U 43.5 | 1% |
| Iowa State vs. Iowa | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Iowa State vs. Iowa prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $189K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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