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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 80% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.5 59% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5 59% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5 56% Volume: $50K Liquidity: $142K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.580%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.559%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.559%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 22.553%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 23.547%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.544%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda43%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.536%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.534%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.526%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of mubadala citi dc open: aleksandar vukic vs zachary svajda. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Zachary Svajda in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page reviews Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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