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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.5 70% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 65% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.5 64% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.5 56% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $340K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.570%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.565%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.564%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.556%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.546%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor43%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.536%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.534%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.526%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tallon Griekspoor in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page reviews Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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