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Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler

Live odds for "Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 8.5 88% Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.5 75% Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler 69% Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 9.5 66% Volume: $56K Liquidity: $356K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 8.588%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.575%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler69%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 9.566%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 21.565%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.565%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 Winner63%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 22.556%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner54%
Completed Match51%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.548%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set Handicap +/-1.543%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 10.540%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.535%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler. This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Joel Schwaerzler in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego'…

Methodology

This page reviews Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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