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US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 3.5 100% US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 3 O/U 10.5 90% US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor 82% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $279K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 3 O/U 10.590%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor82%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 3 Winner73%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 38.557%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 3 O/U 8.551%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 3 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Game Spread +/-5.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 40.535%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.529%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: ben shelton vs tallon griekspoor. This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tallon Griekspoor in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' …

Methodology

This page reviews US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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