Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp | 81% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 40.5 | 47% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 Winner | 46% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 3% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: roman safiullin vs botic van de zandschulp stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
We track Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zands… on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →