Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 95% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 92% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 Winner | 89% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 87% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 Winner | 53% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 36.5 | 52% |
| Completed Match | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 43% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: alejandro davidovich fokina vs juan manuel cerundolo. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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