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Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.5 60% Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 51% Completed Match 50% Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $240K Liquidity: $480K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.560%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.551%
Completed Match50%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.549%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner44%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.541%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar38%
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner34%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 60% probability to croatia open: roman andres burruchaga vs daniel merida aguilar. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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