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National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 8.5 84% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry 62% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 Winner 60% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 21.5 59% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $378K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 8.584%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry62%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 Winner60%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 21.559%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 Winner57%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 9.556%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 22.553%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 23.547%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set Handicap +/-1.538%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 10.535%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set Handicap +/-1.523%

Market context

Market consensus: 84% chance of national bank open: nuno borges vs tomas etcheverry. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Tomas Etcheverry in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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