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2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Live odds for "2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Jannik Sinner 60% Novak Djokovic 14% Alexander Zverev 9% Taylor Fritz 6% Volume: $14.6M Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jannik Sinner60%
Novak Djokovic14%
Alexander Zverev9%
Taylor Fritz6%
Grigor Dimitrov4%
Félix Auger-Aliassime3%
Alex de Minaur2%
Alexander Bublik2%
Hubert Hurkacz1%
Jiří Lehečka1%
Flavio Cobolli1%
Carlos Alcaraz0%
Jack Draper0%
Ben Shelton0%
João Fonseca0%
Jakub Menšík0%
Daniil Medvedev0%
Arthur Fils0%
Tommy Paul0%
Lorenzo Musetti0%
Matteo Berrettini0%
Stefanos Tsitsipas0%
Sebastian Korda0%
Gabriel Diallo0%
Andrey Rublev0%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard0%
Lorenzo Sonego0%
Alex Michelsen0%
Frances Tiafoe0%
Cameron Norrie0%
Alexei Popyrin0%
Tallon Griekspoor0%
Francisco Cerúndolo0%
Ugo Humbert0%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0%
Casper Ruud0%
Karen Khachanov0%
Tomáš Macháč0%
Nicolás Jarry0%
Marin Čilić0%
Other0%
Player A0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%

Market context

The 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner prediction market currently prices this outcome at 60% YES. Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a lis…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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