Scotland vs. Brazil - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup clash between Scotland and Brazil on 24 June 2026 at 6:00 PM ET is the real-world event driving this contract, with the market currently pricing a specific exact score at just 6% YES. On Polymarket, this conditional token sits on the Polygon chain, settled in USDC, where the thin liquidity reflects the narrow odds of any single precise outcome materialising in a match between two nations with vastly different scoring histories.

Historically, Brazil has dominated this fixture, winning four of their five meetings since 1974 while averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Scotland’s 0.4, and Scotland has never beaten Brazil even at previous World Cups including the 1998 opener[2][7]. This heavy disparity frames the 6% probability as a realistic but fragile bet, given that Brazil’s typical scoring output often overshadows Scotland’s defensive resilience, making any single exact score a high-variance proposition in a tournament where over 2.5 goals is favoured by bookmakers[3].

Traders should monitor the final line-ups released by FIFA before kick-off, as Ancelotti’s squad selection and Steve Clarke’s tactical adjustments could shift goal expectations significantly, alongside any late injury news from the Scottish camp[4][10]. Recent previews highlight the first World Cup meeting since 1998, with both camps confirming their readiness, but the over/under 2.5 goals market remains the primary catalyst for volatility in exact-score pricing[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Scotland vs. Brazil - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.