Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
26% | 74% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
26% | 74% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| José Sá: 2+ saves | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Timothy Fayulu: 3+ saves | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| José Sá: 3+ saves | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| José Sá: 4+ saves | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Bernardo Silva: 1+ goals | 18% YES | 83% NO |
Market context
Portugal face DR Congo in a World Cup group-stage match on 17 June 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The conditional token contract on Polymarket currently settles YES at 26% implied probability, meaning traders are pricing a roughly one-in-four chance that a specific named player scores during the ninety minutes. On-chain liquidity sits across USDC pairs on Polygon, with settlement triggered by official FIFA records once the match concludes and the settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC that day.
Historical precedent suggests caution when reading this probability against Portugal's attacking depth. In qualifying campaigns for recent tournaments, Portugal averaged 2.1 goals per match whilst conceding 0.4—yet individual player props rarely exceed 30% for any single forward in group-stage fixtures, even against lower-ranked opposition. DR Congo currently ranks 79th in the FIFA standings; Portugal 10th. The gap in squad quality typically compresses individual scorer odds because defensive organisation and match flow remain unpredictable variables. Group-stage matches also see rotations: Portugal may rest key players if they secure early qualification.
Traders should monitor team news releases through 16 June for injury updates or tactical shifts. Portugal's recent friendly results and starting-XI announcements will clarify whether Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, or secondary attacking options feature prominently. DR Congo's defensive record in recent qualifiers—they conceded 1.8 goals per match in African Cup of Nations qualifying—provides a baseline, though World Cup pitch conditions and opponent intensity differ markedly. Settlement depends entirely on official FIFA match data; no discretion applies once the final whistle sounds.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $458K.
Methodology
We track Portugal vs. DR Congo - Player Props on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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