Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
5% | 95% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
5% | 95% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden | 7% YES | 94% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the Netherlands–Sweden exact-score contract at **5% YES**, which is a very small implied chance for any single listed scoreline. On Polymarket, the position settles in **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens, and the key question is not who wins but whether the regulation-time result matches one of the contract’s enumerated outcomes, with extra time and penalties excluded.
That low price fits the natural shape of exact-score markets: the most common outcomes in football are concentrated in a few results, while every individual scoreline carries only a narrow slice of probability. ESPN’s pre-match pricing shows Netherlands around **-155** on the moneyline and **under 2.5 goals at -115**, with a draw around **+310**, which points to a relatively tight, low-scoring game rather than a blowout[2]. FIFA lists kick-off at **17:00** in Houston, and Sky Sports also shows the fixture as a same-day World Cup match, so the contract depends entirely on the official 90-minute score at that scheduled time[3][4].
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the match is played as scheduled without disruption. Reuters reported on 18 June that Sweden entered the game in stronger form while the Dutch were left questioning themselves after a draw with Japan, a contrast that can matter if sentiment moves towards a more cautious or more open match script before kick-off[9]. If the game is postponed, Polymarket contracts of this type can stay open until completion; if it is cancelled without a result, resolution terms in the market description become decisive.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.
Methodology
This page reviews Netherlands vs. Sweden - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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