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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

Live odds for "Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador 16% Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador 14% Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador 14% Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador 11% Volume: $217K Liquidity: $907K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador16%
Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador14%
Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador14%
Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador11%
Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador9%
Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador8%
Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador5%
Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador3%
Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador3%
Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador3%
Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador3%
Any Other Score3%
Mexico 2 - 3 Ecuador1%
Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador1%
Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador1%
Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador1%
Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 16% YES probability for Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mexico vs. Ecuador match originally …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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