Jordan vs. Algeria

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing **Jordan vs Algeria** at **24% YES** today, so the contract is implying a minority chance that the market’s settlement condition is met on this World Cup match. On Polymarket, traders are buying and selling USDC-denominated conditional tokens on Polygon, so the quoted price reflects the market’s live estimate rather than the scoreboard itself.

For context, the match is scheduled for **22 June 2026 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara**, with FIFA listing kick-off at **03:00 UTC on 23 June**[2][3]. ESPN’s pre-match board currently shows Algeria as the stronger side in the moneyline market, with Algeria around **-175**, Jordan around **+500**, and the draw around **+320**[1]. That sort of price gap usually keeps a lower outright probability on Jordan-related YES outcomes, unless the market is specifically tied to a narrower settlement rule than a simple win-draw-loss line.

Traders watching this market should focus on the final team news, confirmed line-ups, and any late schedule or venue updates, because those can move both the underlying football odds and the Polymarket token price close to resolution. FIFA’s match centre and stadium listings both anchor the fixture to the same time and venue, which reduces uncertainty on settlement mechanics, while live odds updates on ESPN will be the clearest public read-through on how the match is being priced into game day[1][2][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Jordan vs. Algeria across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.