Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices individual exact-score outcomes, with settlement based on the final whistle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Currently, Polymarket's conditional token pricing reflects 0% aggregate probability across all listed scorelines, indicating either extremely thin liquidity, a technical pricing anomaly, or genuine market scepticism about the likelihood of any single outcome materialising as written.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in football carry inherent difficulty. The 2022 World Cup saw similar contracts struggle with liquidity concentration, as traders typically favour over/under goals or win-draw-loss markets instead. Scotland's recent competitive record—they qualified for Euro 2020 and the 2022 World Cup—establishes them as a mid-tier European side, whilst Haiti's World Cup qualification would mark their first appearance since 1974, making any precise scoreline forecast genuinely speculative. The 0% reading likely reflects the contract's specificity rather than certainty about the match outcome itself.

Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture scheduling through early 2026, as any postponement or venue change would extend the settlement window. Squad announcements and injury updates for both nations typically emerge in the weeks preceding tournament play. Scotland's qualifying campaign and Haiti's path through CONCACAF will shape squad depth and form entering June. The conditional token mechanics on Polygon mean liquidity may remain sparse until nearer the fixture date, when broader World Cup trading activity typically concentrates.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.