Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany vs Côte d’Ivoire is pricing at **4% YES** on Polymarket, so the contract is treating an exact-score hit as a longshot even before you account for the fact that only 90 minutes plus stoppage time count for settlement, with extra time and penalties excluded. On Polymarket, each position is funded in **USDC** and represented as **conditional tokens** on **Polygon**, so the live price reflects what traders are willing to pay for that exact settlement outcome rather than a generic view on who wins the match.

That low probability fits how exact-score markets usually behave in football: the probability is spread across many possible scorelines, and even in matches with a clear favourite the most common outcomes are usually clustered around low totals rather than a single score. Comparable pre-match pricing on the major sports books shows Germany as the stronger side, with FOX Sports listing Germany at around **-192** and ESPN showing Germany around **-190** on the moneyline, while the match total is set near **2.5 goals**; that combination typically leaves the exact-score market fragmented across results such as 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 and 1-1 rather than concentrating heavily on one number.[2][3]

The main catalysts for traders are line-up news, any late injury or squad changes, and whether the game follows the expected kick-off and regulation schedule, because this market stays open until the fixture is actually completed if it is postponed. FIFA’s match-centre lists Germany v Côte d’Ivoire as a **first-stage** World Cup fixture, with live match coverage already in place, so the practical watchpoint is whether the teams play the same 90-minute slate that current pricing assumes.[5] For anyone holding conditional tokens on Polygon, the relevant operational fact is that settlement will hinge on the officially recorded final scoreline after stoppage time, not on implied strength, possession, or any result after the 90 minutes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.