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France vs. Sweden - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "France vs. Sweden - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Alexander Isak: 1+ shots 100% Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals 59% Désiré Doué: 2+ shots 56% Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots 52% Volume: $762K Liquidity: $161K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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France vs. Sweden - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Alexander Isak: 1+ shots100%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals59%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots56%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots52%
Maghnes Akliouche: 2+ shots52%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ shots51%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ shots51%
Alexander Isak: 1+ shots on target51%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target51%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots51%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots51%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shots on target50%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots on target50%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots on target50%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ shots on target50%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target50%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target50%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots50%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots50%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots50%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots50%
Manu Koné: 1+ assists50%
Alexander Isak: 1+ goals + assists50%
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals + assists50%
Alexander Isak: 3+ goals + assists50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals + assists50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ goals + assists50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 3+ goals + assists50%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ goals + assists50%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals + assists50%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists50%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists50%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists50%
Manu Koné: 1+ goals + assists50%
Manu Koné: 2+ goals + assists50%
Manu Koné: 3+ goals + assists50%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists50%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists50%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists50%
Théo Hernández: 1+ goals + assists50%
Théo Hernández: 2+ goals + assists50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals + assists50%
Alexander Isak: 3+ shots50%
Alexander Isak: 4+ shots50%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots50%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 1+ shots50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ shots50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 5+ shots50%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots50%
Michael Olise: 5+ shots50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots50%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ shots50%
Rayan Cherki: 4+ shots50%
Rayan Cherki: 5+ shots50%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target50%
Rayan Cherki: 4+ shots on target50%
Alexander Isak: 2+ shots50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shots50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots50%
Théo Hernández: 2+ shots50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots on target50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots on target50%
Manu Koné: 1+ shots50%
Manu Koné: 2+ shots50%
Manu Koné: 1+ shots on target50%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target50%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target50%
Alexander Isak: 5+ shots50%
Bradley Barcola: 5+ shots50%
Désiré Doué: 5+ shots50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ shots50%
Théo Hernández: 1+ shots on target50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots50%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ shots50%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ shots50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 3+ shots50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ shots50%
Manu Koné: 3+ shots50%
Manu Koné: 4+ shots50%
Théo Hernández: 3+ shots50%
Théo Hernández: 4+ shots50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shots50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ shots50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots49%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target49%
Manu Koné: 1+ goals49%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assists49%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals + assists49%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists49%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists49%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists49%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists49%
Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assists49%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists49%
Théo Hernández: 4+ goals + assists49%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goals + assists49%
Alexander Isak: 4+ shots on target49%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 2+ shots on target49%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ shots on target49%
Maghnes Akliouche: 1+ shots on target49%
Maghnes Akliouche: 2+ shots on target49%
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ shots on target49%
Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ shots on target49%
Marcus Thuram: 1+ shots on target49%
Marcus Thuram: 2+ shots on target49%
Marcus Thuram: 3+ shots on target49%
Marcus Thuram: 4+ shots on target49%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target49%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target49%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ shots on target49%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ shots on target49%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ shots on target49%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shots49%
Mike Maignan: 2+ saves49%
Mike Maignan: 3+ saves49%
Mike Maignan: 4+ saves49%
Mike Maignan: 5+ saves49%
Viktor Johansson: 2+ saves49%
Viktor Johansson: 4+ saves49%
Manu Koné: 2+ shots on target49%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target49%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target49%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shots on target49%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shots on target49%
Viktor Johansson: 3+ saves49%
Viktor Johansson: 5+ saves49%
Alexander Isak: 2+ shots on target49%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target49%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target49%
Théo Hernández: 2+ shots on target49%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ shots on target49%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ shots on target49%
Alexander Isak: 3+ shots on target49%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ shots on target49%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target49%
Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assists48%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists48%
Théo Hernández: 3+ goals + assists48%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goals + assists48%
Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 1+ assists43%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals41%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ goals38%
Viktor Gyökeres: 5+ shots37%
Maghnes Akliouche: 1+ goals34%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists33%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists32%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ assists32%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals32%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals27%
Théo Hernández: 1+ assists27%
Théo Hernández: 1+ goals25%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals22%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals19%
Théo Hernández: 1+ shots19%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists18%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ assists18%
Marcus Thuram: 2+ goals18%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ goals18%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals17%
Michael Olise: 2+ assists17%
Alexander Isak: 1+ goals16%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assists14%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goals13%
Alexander Isak: 2+ assists13%
Manu Koné: 2+ assists13%
Théo Hernández: 2+ assists13%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ assists13%
Désiré Doué: 2+ assists13%
Maghnes Akliouche: 2+ goals13%
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goals13%
Marcus Thuram: 3+ goals13%
Alexander Isak: 3+ goals13%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals13%
Théo Hernández: 2+ goals13%
Manu Koné: 2+ goals13%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 2+ goals13%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goals13%
Alexander Isak: 1+ assists12%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists11%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals11%
Désiré Doué: 1+ assists9%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals8%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals7%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals7%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ assists7%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ goals7%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ goals7%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ goals7%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals5%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ assists5%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals5%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals5%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goals4%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals3%
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals3%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals2%
Marcus Thuram: 1+ goals2%

Market context

The France vs. Sweden - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track France vs. Sweden - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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