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Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners

Five-platform snapshot of "Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 86% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 75% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 74% Belgium Corners: O/U 2.5 71% Volume: $141K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.586%
Total Corners: O/U 7.575%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.574%
Belgium Corners: O/U 2.571%
Spain Corners: O/U 4.570%
Total Corners: O/U 8.567%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.565%
Spain Corners: O/U 5.563%
Team to Take First Corner60%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.556%
Total Corners: O/U 9.551%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.550%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Belgium Corners: O/U 3.548%
Spain Corners: O/U 6.543%
Total Corners: O/U 10.540%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.536%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.533%
Total Corners: O/U 11.528%
Belgium Corners: O/U 4.528%
Total Corners: O/U 12.522%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 86% YES probability for Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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