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Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Egypt 16% IR Iran 85% Volume: $376K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 27 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Scam? →
Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Scam? Pick
polygram.ink
16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Scam? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.

Active sub-markets

Egypt (-1.5)16% Egypt85% IR Iran
IR Iran (-1.5)8% IR Iran93% Egypt
Egypt (-2.5)5% Egypt96% IR Iran
IR Iran (-2.5)2% IR Iran98% Egypt
O/U 0.585% Over16% Under
O/U 1.561% Over40% Under

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 16% YES probability for Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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