Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

A friendly international between the Republic of Ireland and Qatar is scheduled for 28 May 2026. The Polymarket contract currently trades at 100% YES on Polygon, meaning traders are pricing in near-certainty that this fixture will occur as scheduled. Settlement hinges on the match taking place by the deadline of 18:45 UTC that day; cancellation, postponement beyond the window, or non-appearance by either team would resolve the contract to NO.

Historical precedent suggests friendly internationals rarely fail to materialise once officially announced and scheduled. UEFA and FIFA-sanctioned friendlies have a strong completion rate, with postponements typically occurring only in cases of severe security concerns, natural disasters, or extraordinary political circumstances. The 2020 pandemic disruptions remain the most recent widespread exception, but fixture cancellations for friendlies have been exceptionally rare in the decade prior. Qatar's participation in international friendlies has been consistent since their AFC membership, and Ireland maintains regular fixture calendars with minimal historical disruptions.

Traders should monitor official announcements from the Football Association of Ireland and Qatar Football Association for any squad or scheduling updates. Visa complications, injury crises affecting either squad, or diplomatic incidents could theoretically trigger postponement, though such scenarios remain low-probability. Weather conditions in late May are unlikely to cause cancellation in either jurisdiction. The settlement window closes at 18:45 UTC, so any fixture rescheduled to a later date would trigger NO resolution. Confirmation of venue, kick-off time, and final squad selections typically emerge in the week preceding the match.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.