F1: Action of the Year

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 FIA Action of the Year award is trading at 4% on Polymarket, so the market is pricing only a small chance of a YES-style outcome on the current contract. On Polymarket, positions are held as USDC on Polygon and settle through conditional tokens if the FIA confirms a qualifying winner at the Awards. With the market set to resolve only once the official award is declared, the price today is best read as a live crowd estimate of how likely this season’s highlight reel produces a named recipient rather than a generic “Other” result.

For context, end-of-season F1 awards can be hard to model from race-to-race form alone because they depend on standout clips, not championships or points. Comparable Polymarket sports and novelty contracts often stay subdued until a clear narrative forms, then reprice quickly after a defining incident, broadcast moment, or official shortlist. In practice, that means a low single-digit probability usually reflects both uncertainty over the eventual winner and the fact that voters may reward a single dramatic sequence rather than sustained performance across the year.

Traders should watch FIA announcements, the timing of the season finale, and the Awards schedule, because the contract remains live until the 2026 settlement window closes on 13 December 2026. Motorsport reported in May that the FIA expects 2026 power-unit rules to create early performance differences, with internal combustion engines likely to be an important differentiator; if that produces a run of headline incidents, it could affect which moments dominate end-of-year voting. The other key dependency is whether the FIA publishes an official winner before the deadline, since no declared winner in time resolves the market to “Other”.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews F1: Action of the Year across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.