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AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $249K Closes: 21 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

AFC Ajax (-2.5)0% YES100% NO
O/U 0.5100% YES0% NO
O/U 1.5100% YES0% NO
O/U 2.50% YES100% NO
O/U 3.50% YES100% NO
O/U 4.50% YES100% NO

Market context

Ajax play FC Groningen in the Eredivisie, and Polymarket is pricing the “More Markets” contract at 0% YES on the current tape. On-chain, that means traders holding USDC on Polygon are assigning no residual probability to any qualifying ancillary market being added or resolved in the settlement window before 2026-05-21T16:45:00Z, with the contract built from conditional tokens rather than the match result itself.

A 0% print is usually a sign that the market is treating the relevant add-on outcome as either already excluded by the event setup or too late to appear before resolution. In football-related “more markets” contracts, comparable cases often stay pinned at zero once the operator has locked the available menu, because there is no meaningful time left for a late card, goalscorer, or prop category to be introduced into settlement. Historical pricing on these contracts is often less about the underlying fixture and more about whether the exchange has published a fresh market before the clock runs out.

The main things to watch are the platform’s market catalogue, any late lineup or competition updates, and whether the listed settlement rules mention linked dependencies such as live trading availability or official data sources. FotMob currently shows expected line-ups for Ajax and Groningen, while Sofascore marks the fixture as finished, so any change in the contract’s status is more likely to come from Polymarket’s own market administration than from the match itself.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

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