Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Nottingham Forest will host Newcastle United on Sunday, 10 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture. The conditional YES token on Polymarket currently trades at 23 cents per USDC, implying a 23% probability that Newcastle wins the match. Settlement occurs at 13:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with outcomes determined by official Premier League records. Traders holding YES tokens on Polygon receive the full conditional payout if Newcastle's final score exceeds Forest's; NO token holders profit if Forest wins or the match ends level.

Forest and Newcastle have occupied mid-table positions in recent seasons, though Newcastle's investment in squad depth under their Saudi-backed ownership has generally positioned them as stronger favourites in direct matchups. Historically, Newcastle's away record against comparable opponents shows mixed results, whilst Forest's home advantage at the City Ground carries statistical weight. The 23% probability reflects Newcastle as underdogs despite their recent spending, suggesting the market prices Forest's home status and current form as meaningful factors.

Key variables for traders include team news released in the week before the fixture—injuries to key players like Newcastle's attacking options or Forest's defensive personnel could shift the probability materially. Fixture congestion in early May may affect squad rotation decisions, particularly if either side contests European or domestic cup finals. Weather conditions at Nottingham on match day and any late tactical announcements from managers will influence in-game dynamics, though these typically emerge too close to kickoff to move markets substantially.

Methodology

This page reviews Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.