Market statistics
- Total volume
- $744K
- 24h volume
- $731K
- Open interest
- $490K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Crystal Palace and Everton will meet at Selhurst Park on Sunday, 10 May 2026 in what is scheduled as a standard Premier League fixture. The 0% YES pricing on Polymarket reflects conditional token valuations in USDC on Polygon, where YES tokens currently trade at effectively zero premium, implying traders assign negligible probability to this specific match occurring as scheduled by the settlement deadline.
Historical precedent suggests Premier League fixtures rarely fail to materialise once confirmed in the official fixture list. Since the league's restructuring in 1992, cancellations have been exceptionally rare and typically tied to extraordinary circumstances—severe weather, infrastructure failure, or public safety emergencies. The 2021–22 season saw fixture postponements during COVID-19 peaks, but these were rescheduled rather than cancelled outright. Both clubs have stable operational records with no recent history of administrative dissolution or licence revocation that would prevent participation.
Traders monitoring this contract should track fixture confirmation status through the Premier League's official website and any announcements regarding ground safety or scheduling changes. The May fixture congestion period occasionally produces rescheduling, particularly if either club reaches cup finals or requires fixture congestion relief. Recent injury or suspension news affecting squad availability would not trigger settlement conditions. The settlement window closes 13:00 UTC on match day, creating a narrow window for last-minute administrative changes. Polymarket's conditional token mechanics mean any fixture postponement announced before settlement would likely shift YES tokens towards zero value, whilst confirmation of play would reverse current pricing.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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