Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Spirit and G2 face off in the Counter-Strike quarterfinal at PGL Astana on 15 May, with the match scheduled for 4:00 AM ET. The conditional token pricing on Polygon currently reflects 89% implied probability for Spirit victory, meaning traders are pricing YES tokens at approximately 0.89 USDC. This represents a substantial favourite position, with G2 priced as a significant underdog despite being a top-tier European organisation.
Spirit's dominance in recent Counter-Strike competition provides historical grounding for the current odds. The Russian roster has consistently performed at the highest level throughout 2024 and into 2025, winning multiple tier-one tournaments and maintaining a strong head-to-head record against comparable opposition. G2, whilst capable, has faced inconsistency in their recent form and roster stability. Previous matchups between these teams show Spirit winning the majority of engagements, though G2 has occasionally produced upset performances in best-of-three formats where map selection can create tactical advantages.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability and any last-minute roster changes before the settlement window closes on 15 May at 14:20 UTC. The early morning ET start time (4:00 AM) creates potential for scheduling delays or technical issues that could trigger the 7-day cancellation clause. PGL's official tournament schedule and any weather or infrastructure disruptions affecting the venue should be tracked. Additionally, watch for any competitive integrity concerns or player health issues that might force forfeiture, as these would resolve the market to 50-50 rather than determining a winner through standard play.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Play… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →