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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) 90% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 80% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.580%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)20%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between QUAZAR and The Last Resort in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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