🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 88% O/U 3.5 Games 73% Map 4 Winner 57% Map 2 Winner 52% Volume: $374K Liquidity: $79K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.588%
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Map 4 Winner57%
Map 2 Winner52%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)50%
Match Winner40%
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)40%
Map 3 Winner39%
Map 1 Winner36%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Map Handicap: GL (-2.5) vs NIP (+2.5)21%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 88% probability to counter-strike: nip vs gamerlegion (bo5) - 1win private club #1 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between NIP and GamerLegion in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Priv… on Polymarket Scam?

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →