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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

16% YES 84% NO Volume: $699K Liquidity: $524K Closes: 10 May 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner16% YES85% NO
Map 1 Winner0% YES100% NO
Map 2 Winner42% YES58% NO
O/U 2.5 Games43% YES57% NO
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)56% YES44% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills1% YES100% NO

Market context

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between TheMongolz and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Trade Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Ast… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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