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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Match Winner 68% Map 2 Winner 65% Map 1 Winner 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner68%
Map 2 Winner65%
Map 1 Winner62%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)47%
O/U 2.5 Games39%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 68%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Inner Circle Esports and GenOne in the RES Showdown Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 11:00AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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