Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EYEBALLERS (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | 51% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EYEBALLERS (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EYEBALLERS (-12.5) vs 3DMAX (+12.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 45% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 44% |
| Match Winner | 3% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EYEBALLERS (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: 3dmax vs eyeballers (bo1) - xse pro league group stage stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between 3DMAX and EYEBALLERS in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 2 at 3:00AM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro … on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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