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Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $360K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score99%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half99%
Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.550%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 0.550%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.543%
O/U 2.538%
O/U 3.525%
Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.523%
Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)15%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 1.59%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)2%
Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)1%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 4.51%
O/U 5.51%
Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of shandong taishan fc vs. tianjin jinmen hu fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for August 9 at 8:00 AM ET.

Methodology

We track Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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