Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Henan FC and Dalian Yingbo FC are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League, and Polymarket is pricing this “More Markets” contract at **0% YES** today, which means the market is assigning no value to the listed outcome bucket on the current order flow rather than to the football match in the abstract.[20] On Polymarket, that price is backed by **USDC** and resolved through **Polygon** conditional tokens, so the practical question for a trader is whether the precise settlement condition is likely to be triggered by the match facts that emerge before the window closes.[20]
The recent head-to-head record gives only a thin guide, but it does show a fairly even pairing: BBC Sport lists a 2-1 Dalian win in April 2026, a 1-1 FA Cup draw in July 2026, and a 4-0 Henan win in August 2025.[13] That sequence matters because “More Markets” contracts often react to narrow event definitions, and this fixture has already produced both a draw and a decisive result in recent meetings, which is the sort of mixed history that can leave category-style submarkets fragile until line-ups and match context are known.[13]
The main catalysts are the confirmed kick-off, squad news, and any change in the match’s competitive status or statistical conditions before settlement. Sofascore and other live fixtures pages place the league match at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, while a separate FA Cup meeting between the sides was played on 21 July 2026, so traders should watch for which competition is officially referenced in the market terms and whether any late scheduling or data-feed update alters how the contract resolves.[4][9][14] Recent previews also point to Henan’s better recent scoring output and Dalian’s away vulnerability, which can matter if the “More Markets” condition is tied to goals, both teams scoring, or other secondary outcomes.[11][2]
Methodology
This page reviews Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →