Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 92% |
| O/U 33.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Navy vs. UAB | 70% |
| Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 45.5 | 64% |
| 1H Moneyline | 63% |
| O/U 47.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 59% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Navy O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| UAB Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Navy O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UAB 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UAB 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| Navy O/U 30.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -8.5 | 42% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| Spread -12.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -0.5 | 30% |
| UAB O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -15.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| Spread -18.5 | 20% |
| Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| O/U 63.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 65.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| Spread -22.5 | 13% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| Spread -24.5 | 11% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -28.5 | 8% |
| Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Spread -12.5 | 7% |
Market context
Navy vs. UAB — current market-implied probability: 92%. In the upcoming college football game between Navy and UAB, scheduled for September 25 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game. This market will resolve to "UAB" if UAB w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $385K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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