Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| Spread -0.5 | 93% |
| Ole Miss O/U 23.5 | 93% |
| O/U 37.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 90% |
| O/U 35.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| Spread -2.5 | 86% |
| O/U 41.5 | 86% |
| Spread -3.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 83% |
| Spread -5.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 82% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| O/U 45.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| Spread -7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 47.5 | 73% |
| Spread -8.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Spread -10.5 | 69% |
| O/U 49.5 | 67% |
| Ole Miss O/U 32.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| Spread -13.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| Spread -14.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Ole Miss O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Missouri O/U 20.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| O/U 57.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -20.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| O/U 59.5 | 34% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 29% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss | 10% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -2.5 | 7% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -8.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to missouri vs. ole miss. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Ole Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $174K.
Methodology
We track Missouri vs. Ole Miss across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Missouri vs. Ole Miss on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →