Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 90% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe | 82% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| O/U 51.5 | 77% |
| 1H Moneyline | 75% |
| Spread -3.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 72% |
| O/U 49.5 | 70% |
| Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Spread -7.5 | 61% |
| Spread -22.5 | 58% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -9.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 55% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 21.5 | 54% |
| O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| O/U 69.5 | 51% |
| O/U 75.5 | 51% |
| O/U 77.5 | 51% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 35.5 | 48% |
| O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Spread -28.5 | 42% |
| O/U 61.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -15.5 | 41% |
| Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 41.5 | 30% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| Spread -24.5 | 23% |
| Spread -0.5 | 19% |
| O/U 73.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -27.5 | 16% |
| Spread -30.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
Market context
Market consensus: 90% chance of florida atlantic vs. louisiana-monroe. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Louisiana-Monroe, scheduled for September 26 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Flor…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.
Methodology
We track Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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