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Ceará SC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Ceará SC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 79% Ceará SC O/U 0.5 79% 1st Half O/U 2.5 50% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 50% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $7K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Ceará SC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.579%
Ceará SC O/U 0.579%
1st Half O/U 2.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Ceará SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CR Brasil 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Ceará SC O/U 1.549%
CR Brasil O/U 2.549%
Ceará SC 1st Half O/U 1.549%
CR Brasil 1st Half O/U 1.549%
2nd Half O/U 2.549%
Ceará SC 2nd Half O/U 1.549%
CR Brasil 2nd Half O/U 1.549%
CR Brasil O/U 0.547%
O/U 1.544%
Ceará SC O/U 2.539%
Both Teams to Score30%
Both Teams to Score in First Half22%
O/U 2.519%
1st Half O/U 0.518%
Ceará SC (-1.5)14%
CR Brasil O/U 1.514%
O/U 5.511%
Ceará SC 1st Half O/U 0.510%
O/U 3.58%
CR Brasil (-1.5)7%
CR Brasil 1st Half O/U 0.57%
Ceará SC (-2.5)4%
O/U 4.53%
1st Half O/U 1.53%
CR Brasil (-2.5)2%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ceará sc vs. cr brasil - more markets stands at 79% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for July 22 at 6:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Ceará SC vs. CR Brasil - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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