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Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko 100% Completed Match 100% Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 Winner 100% Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $93K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko100%
Completed Match100%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 Winner100%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 Winner100%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, swiss open, qualification: timofey skatov vs vitaliy sachko stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Vitaliy Sachko in the Swiss Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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