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Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 2 Winner 100% Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $113K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 2 Winner100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Match O/U 21.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Match O/U 22.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Match O/U 23.5100%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto0%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 1 Winner0%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, bogota: lucas da silva vs matias soto stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Da Silva and Matias Soto in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luc…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto on Polymarket Scam?

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets