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Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 Winner 100% Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $265K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 Winner100%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 21.575%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 22.575%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 23.575%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch62%
Completed Match50%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set Handicap +/-1.523%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set Handicap +/-1.51%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 Winner0%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of tampere: gauthier onclin vs tom gentzsch. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Tom Gentzsch in the Tampere, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'G…

Methodology

This page reviews Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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