Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Jerome Kym and Max Houkes in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerome Kym' if Jerome Kym ad…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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