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Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton

Five-platform snapshot of "Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner 100% Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton 71% Completed Match 51% Volume: $231K Liquidity: $468K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton71%
Completed Match51%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 2.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Match O/U 21.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Match O/U 23.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner0%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of bloomfield hills: thanasi kokkinakis vs adam walton. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Adam Walton in the Bloomfield Hills, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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