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Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Five-platform snapshot of "Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 2 Winner 100% Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $294K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 2 Winner100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Match O/U 21.5100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Match O/U 22.5100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Match O/U 23.5100%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva0%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 1 Winner0%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of liberec: nicolas kicker vs frederico ferreira silva. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Kicker and Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

We track Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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