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Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp

Five-platform snapshot of "Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp 100% Completed Match 100% Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $299K Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp100%
Completed Match100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 Winner100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 Winner100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Match O/U 21.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Match O/U 22.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Match O/U 23.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, augsburg: cezar cretu vs sandro kopp stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Sandro Kopp in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cez…

Methodology

This page reviews Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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