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Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 8.5 77% Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 21.5 53% Completed Match 50% Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $108K Liquidity: $282K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 8.577%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 21.553%
Completed Match50%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 23.550%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 9.547%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 22.546%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 Winner45%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner44%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat42%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.539%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.528%
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 10.528%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat. This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Brunclik and Jan Kumstat in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Pet…

Methodology

This page reviews Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat on Polymarket Scam?

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