United States vs. Paraguay - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States faces Paraguay in a World Cup group-stage fixture on 12 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 9:00 PM ET. Polymarket currently prices the YES contract—wagering that total corners will exceed a specified threshold—at 0%, meaning the market has assigned negligible probability to that outcome. This extreme pricing reflects either a very high threshold set by the market creator or a collective assessment that corner frequency in this matchup will fall below historical norms for competitive international football.

Corner counts in World Cup matches typically range between 8 and 14, with group-stage games averaging around 10 corners when both teams press for early advantage. The United States and Paraguay have met twice in competitive fixtures; their 2016 Copa América encounter produced 9 corners, whilst their 2015 meeting yielded 7. Neither side is known for generating excessive set-piece opportunities through sustained attacking play, though Paraguay's defensive approach can invite pressure that translates into corners. The 0% pricing suggests the threshold is pitched above 12 or 13 corners—territory requiring sustained attacking intensity from both sides.

Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury status for attacking personnel on either squad. Paraguay's recent Copa América performances and the United States' preparation schedule will signal tactical intent. Fixture congestion in the days preceding 12 June could affect pressing intensity and corner frequency. The settlement window closes at 01:00 UTC on 13 June, providing roughly four hours post-match for official corner tallies to be confirmed and the conditional token resolved on-chain via Polygon.

Methodology

We track United States vs. Paraguay - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.